FFirmLensGLOBAL
VALUATION

DCF calculator

Projects the forecast years and the perpetuity separately, and says what share of the answer rests on the terminal assumption.

Most of a DCF usually comes from the terminal assumption rather than from the cash flows anyone forecast. This one reports that share instead of folding it into the total.

CALCULATOR

Run it with your own figures

Use any unit you like for the amounts — millions of dollars, hundreds of millions of won — as long as you use one of them throughout. The answers come back in that same unit, and nothing is converted.

Enterprise value1,656Forecast present value + discounted terminal value
Present value of the forecast
447.57
Σ cash flow / (1 + r)^year
Terminal value at the horizon
1,860
Final cash flow × (1 + g) / (r − g)
Discounted terminal value
1,209
Terminal value / (1 + r)^years
Share from the terminal value
72.98%
Discounted terminal value / enterprise value × 100

Everything is computed in this browser. Nothing you type is sent anywhere.

Cash flow and present value, year by year

YearCash flowDiscount factorPresent value
11050.917496.33
2110.250.841792.8
3115.760.772289.39
4121.550.708486.11
5127.630.649982.95

The discount factor is 1 / (1 + r)^year, which is why an identical amount is worth less further out.

Most of the answer is the terminal value

The standard DCF forecasts five years explicitly and treats everything after as one perpetuity. Split the result, though, and the five years are often about 30% of it while the perpetuity is 70%. The single terminal growth figure typed in at the end moves the answer more than the years anyone worked on.

This tool prints that as a share. Seeing 70% or 80% changes how much weight the result deserves. Lengthening the forecast to ten years lowers the share, but it does so by taking on ten years of forecasting uncertainty, so the problem moves rather than disappears.

Terminal growth has to stay below the discount rate

The terminal denominator is the discount rate minus perpetual growth. As the two converge the denominator approaches zero and the value explodes; at equality it divides by zero; beyond it the formula returns a negative number. This tool refuses to answer and says why.

It looks like an arithmetic problem but it is an economic one. A company growing faster than its cost of capital for ever eventually becomes larger than the economy. Convention therefore keeps terminal growth at or below long-run growth or inflation, usually 1–3%.

Nudging terminal growth from 2% to 3% shows how sensitive this is. At a 9% discount rate the denominator falls from 7% to 6% and the terminal value rises about 17%. One percentage point moves the valuation by more than ten, so this field is not one to fill in casually.

Where the free cash flow comes from

The base figure is built from two lines of the cash flow statement: operating cash flow less capital expenditure — purchases of property, plant and equipment. It comes from there rather than from net income because what a DCF values is cash available, not accounting profit.

Choosing the base year needs care. A year with unusually heavy capital spending, or a one-off swing in working capital, is not a normal year — and that single figure is the starting point for the entire projection. A three-year average, or an adjusted figure, is the safer input.

What this tool returns is an enterprise value. Getting to an equity value means subtracting net debt — take it from the enterprise value calculator, deduct it here, and divide by the share count for a per-share figure. Comparing an enterprise value directly with a market capitalisation counts the debt twice or not at all.

The honest direction is backwards

Asked "what is this company worth", a DCF answers with a function of its own assumptions: adjust the growth and discount rates a little and almost any figure is reachable. So the question gets turned around — what would have to be true for today's price to be right?

Add net debt to the current market cap to get the enterprise value the market is paying, then find the growth or discount rate that produces it. Whether that assumption is acceptable is something you can actually judge. If today's price requires 25% growth sustained for a decade, the decision is no longer about valuation but about whether this company can grow like that — a far more tractable question.

Practise on an original filing

Every figure these calculators ask for comes off a filed financial statement. Which document to open, and how to line up periods and currencies, is covered in the reading guides.

Browse the reading guides · How this site sources its data

These are educational calculators for reading filings. What you type stays in this browser and is not stored. The results are not investment advice about any security, and a real decision needs the statements and their notes alongside. If a formula or an explanation here is wrong, report it on the corrections page.